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CIPEC Home > CIPEC Colloquium Series > Spring Semester 1997
 

Spring Semester 1997


Monday, January 13, 1997

Soohong Park, CIPEC Postdoctoral Fellow in Geographic Information Systems. "Cellular Automata as Analytical Engines in Geographic Information Systems."
Abstract

Contemporary Geographic Information Systems (GIS) suffer from a variety of problems. These include poor performance for many operations, poor ability to handle dynamic spatial models, and poor handling of the temporal dimension. Cellular Automata (CA) have much in common with raster GIS and also excel in many of the areas of deficiency of GIS. CA are dynamic systems based on discrete time and space. The CA model of space is analogous to the tessellation models of contemporary raster GIS. While CA have many similarities to GIS, and indeed excel in many areas in which GIS are deficient, they cannot themselves be considered as GIS since they lack the necessary sophisticated capabilities in data input, data storage and retrieval, and data output. However, the advantages of CA in data analysis and modeling are significant. In order to fully exploit the advantages of each system - GIS and CA - we have developed a methodology and prototype system for coupling GIS and CA, in which the CA serves as an alternative analytical engine for the GIS. The integrated system features three parts in addition to the GIS and CA systems: a common user interface, a data model translator, and an inter operational handler. While the methodology is generic and applicable to any raster GIS and any 2-D CA, the prototype system developed uses Idrisi as the GIS and CAM-6 and Cellular as the CAs. In the prototype system, spatial, temporal (i.e., time series), and spatio-temporal filters as well as spatial diffusion operators are developed. In addition, the integrated system provides a flexible framework for the programming and running of dynamic spatial models as well as the promise of the improved system performance. We conclude that CA represent a viable alternate analytical engine for GIS and provide increased ability for higher dimensional modeling within GIS.

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Monday, January 20, 1997

Lisa Naughton, Center of International Studies, Princeton University. "Farming on the Forest Edge: Risk Distribution Around Kibale National Park, Uganda."
Abstract

Subsistence farmers neighboring Kibale National Park, Uganda fear and resent many wildlife species. In this paper, systematic records of crop damage by wildlife and livestock are compared with local complaints of worst animals and most vulnerable crops. Concordance and discrepancies in complaints versus actual damage are discussed in light of coping strategies and the influence of ethnicity, gender, and affluence on risk perception. Crop losses were greatest at the park edge where immigrants were disproportionately represented. State proprietorship of wildlife amplifies local risk perceptions and constrains traditional coping strategies such as hunting.

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Monday, January 30, 1997

Lee J. Alston, Department of Economics, University of Illinois"Competing Claims to Land:  The Sources of Violent Conflict in the Brazilian Amazon."
Abstract

This paper examines the determinants and impact of violent conflict over land in the Brazilian Amazon.  The settlement process and the legal bases for conflicting claims to land are described.  Although civil law guarantees the sanctity of title, the Brazilian Constitution adds a beneficial use criterion as a condition for title enforcement.  This provision is part of a land reform or redistribution effort.  Forested lands on large private ranches do not meet this criterion and hence, are vulnerable to invasion by squatters.  An analytical framework is provided to generate hypotheses for testing.  Using data from the Brazilian census, the Pastoral Land Commission, and a survey of contested areas in the state of Para, we examine both the characteristics of regions where violence reduced estimated land-specific investment by 19.6% and lowered estimated agricultural land values by 7.8%, all these constant.  These are significant effects in a poor, frontier society.  We also find that squatter organization and, ironically, title are important determinants of the expropriation of private farms for redistribution to squatters.  The implications of land violence for economic growth as well as for the maintenance of rain forests are discussed.

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Monday, February 17, 1997

Constance D. Becker, IFRI Research Associate (International Forestry Resources and Institutions), Indiana University. "Crafting Win-Win Solutions in a Forest Commons in Western Ecuador."
Abstract

Inventing or sustaining cultural systems that provide people with an adequate standard of living while preserving ecosystem functions and biological diversity is thought to be one of the greatest challenges facing humanity now and in the coming century (Hartshorn, 1995; Pearce and Moran, 1994; Perrings, 1995). With human populations growing and many natural resources showing per capita declines (WRI, 1994), creative solutions to curb environmental degradation are in demand. Innovation is thought to be most needed in tropical developing nations where threats to biodiversity are greatest and where financial means and political stability supportive of conservation are often lacking (McNeely, 1989). This presentation describes an approach used by a small conservation NGO to affect forest preservation in a community in western Ecuador. The case study is presented in a theoretical framework of general interest to social and natural scientists concerned with tropical forest management.

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Monday, March 3, 1997

Paul Turner, Ph.D. Candidate in Political Science at Indiana University. "Constitutional Politics and Deforestation: A Cross-National Analysis of the Humid Tropics."
Abstract

In the nascent explanatory literature on tropical deforestation, population growth, poverty, economic development, and incorporation into the world economy are commonly cited as the main driving forces underlying most tropical forest loss. Only recently have researchers begun to look at how institutional factors mediate the relationship between these driving forces and land-use outcomes such as tropical deforestation. In this research, I explore the linkages between institutional factors at the constitutional level--the level at which the terms and conditions of governance for a given polity are established--and tropical forest loss in approximately fifty-five tropical countries during the 1970s and 1980s. I hypothesize that those countries with more open constitutional settings will suffer lower levels of deforestation than those whose constitutional settings are more closed. Preliminary results suggest confirmation of this hypothesis with some qualifications.

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Monday, April 21, 1997

David J. Dodds, CIPEC Postdoctoral Fellow, Anthropologist.  "Rio Platano, Honduras:  CIPEC Research Site for Summer 1997."
Abstract

During May through August, 1997, research will be conducted by David Dodds in the Rio Platano Biosphere Reserve in eastern Honduras.  The goal of the study is to identify the demographic, ethnic, institutional, and geographic components of deforestation patterns within one of the largest biosphere reserves in Central America.  The focal forest of the study, Banaka, is a tropical broad leaf rain forest covering an open-access tract of fertile land increasingly utilized for swidden agriculture, agroforestry, and cattle pasture by three ethnic populations (Miskito, Garifuna, and Hispanic/ladino) within the Reserve.  Demographic pressures on land use through the interaction of fertility, morality, and local migration will be identified through collection of local census information (at schools and public health clinics) and a detailed fertility history survey of 200 women randomly sampled in four villages within and around the Reserve.  Rapid rural appraisal techniques (community and focal group interviews) will identify user groups and institutions shaping rules-in-use for the Banaka forest.  Settlement and land use data will be georeferenced with a GPS to aid analysis of available Landsat TM imagery for classification of land use cover and change.  In the CIPEC site sampling matrix, the Rio Platano Biosphere Reserve falls within the cells for Tropical Moist Forest/Government Owned (with regard to the area's status as a biosphere reserve).

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