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Fall Semester 2002

 

Wednesday, November 13, 2002

Edwin Castellanos, Director, Centro de Estudios Ambientales, Universidad del Valle de Guatemala, "Using Remote Sensing to Examine the Performance of Decentralized Forest Management Practices in Guatemala."
Abstract

The research presented in this talk is part of an effort to understand the role of decentralized forest management policies implemented in Guatemala through a novel Forestry Law passed in 1996. We are currently generating data on the dynamics of forest cover in 100 municipalities randomly selected in Guatemala. The mayors in these municipalities were surveyed to examine the overall effort made during their term to manage and monitor the status of the forest in their municipalities. The responses from these mayors will be contrasted with actual forest cover data for each municipality derived from the analysis of Landsat TM images for the years 1991, 1996, and 2001.

The presentation will focus on the procedures and problems encountered during the processing of the images to derive the forest cover data. It will discuss some initial results, including the first forest cover map for Guatemala (year 2001) completed at the scale of 1:50,000 through supervised classification of satellite images. It will also discuss some interesting forest cover dynamics observed in selected municipalities for the period 1991-2001.

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Thursday, December 5, 2002

Simon Levin, Moffett Professor of Biology, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, "The Evolution and Management of Resiliency in Complex Adaptive Systems"
Abstract

One of the fundamental challenges in the study of complex adaptive systems is in the understanding of the relationship between macroscopic features, such as resiliency, and microscopic interactions. I will discuss the features that lead to resiliency in any system, and then place the issue within an evolutionary context. In particular, complex adaptive systems differ in fundamental ways from designed ones, and this has implications for our management of those systems. I will use as case studies ecosystems and the biosphere, prototypical complex adaptive systems, and derive principles for the management of complex adaptive systems in general.

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