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Fall Semester 1997



Thursday, September 18, 1997

Mark Twery & Morgan Grove, USDA Forest Service, Burlington, VT. "Decision Support Software for a Social Ecological Approach to Forest Management: A Work in Progress."
Abstract

The U.S. Forest Service has begun to develop an integrated, structured, and systematic set of concepts, measures, tools, and techniques for ecological and silvicultural analysis for the purpose of enhancing the decision-making process for natural resource management. Specifically, the Burlington, VT research unit of the U.S. Forest Service, referred to as Integrating the Ecological and Social Dimensions of Forest Ecosystem Management, has developed a suite of user-friendly forest resource inventory, analysis, and decision-support software tools to help forest managers make more informed decisions about how they manage their forests. This suite of decision support software tools is known collectively as NED.

The goal of NED is not to develop deterministic models that tell people how to manage their land. Rather, our goal is to gather and organize the most relevant and current forest management-related research into a set of systematic and structured tools that will help forest managers make more informed choices and decisions about what actions to take to manage their forests. For example, based upon research on wildlife, aesthetics, silviculture, forest health, hydrology, and ecology, the Forest Stewardship Planning Guide draws upon the most current research to help forest landowners and managers identify and prioritize their management goals and to assess the compatibility or potential conflicts between their goals.

The development and incorporation of social systems analysis tools into NED remains incomplete. Indeed, although researchers in the social sciences have studied the social dynamics of natural resource use for much of this century, many forest managers (both owners and resource professionals) remain unfamiliar with the results. Increasingly, however, forest managers have asked for an integrated, structured, and systematic set of concepts, measures, tools, and techniques for social analysis that would complement their forestry and ecology backgrounds.

This presentation will describe the approach, current status, and future directions of the Forest Service's NED software.

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Monday, September 22, 1997

Edwin Castellanos, Doctoral Candidate, Environmental Science, School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University. "Seasonally Dry Forests of Guatemala."
Abstract

This presentation reports on my visit to Guatemala last May. This exploratory trip took me to two regions of the country which will be described in this talk. First, I visited the northern part of Peten near the Mexican border in areas located within the Mayan Biosphere Resource, the largest track of tropical forest in Mesoamerica. Various organizations are working in that region to introduce agroforestry techniques to the local communities who have traditionally relied on slash-and-burn subsistence farming.

The second part of the trip took me to the dry slopes of Eastern Guatemala near the border with Honduras. The development agency Prozachi is helping local communities implement management plans to make sustainable use of their coniferous, communal forests. At the same time, other institutions are trying to protect the neighboring cloud forests found at higher elevations, now threatened by the advance of coffee plantations.

Edwin Castellanos is in his fifth (and hopefully last) year in the Ph.D. in Environmental Science program in SPEA. He has worked for Dr. J.C. Randolph for the past two years in the area of Forest Ecology. His current research includes work on below-ground carbon budgets and nutrient cycling and decomposition processes in forest ecosystems.

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Monday, September 29, 1997

Emilio Moran, Professor and Director, Anthropological Center for Training and Research in Global Environmental Change (ACT) and Co-Director, CIPEC. "Amazonian Deforestation and the Structure of Households."
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Monday, October 27, 1997

http://www.cpc.unc.edu/bios/bilsborrow.html
Richard E. Bilsborrow, Professor, Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill. "Population, Migration, and Deforestation in Latin America: Overview and Case Study of the Ecuadorian Amazon."
Abstract

I will first briefly review pertinent theories about the linkages between human population and deforestation, focusing on extensification of agriculture and internal migration as key intermediate processes. Then, following an overview of trends between population and forest cover in the region based on cross-country data from the 1960s to the 1990s, I will describe in more detail findings to date from various analyses of the effects of agricultural colonists on deforestation in the Ecuadorian Amazon. Plans for extending the research in the future will also be outlined.

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Friday, October 31, 1997

Steven A. Sader, Professor, Department of Forest Management, Director, Maine Image Analysis Laboratory, University of Maine. "Land Cover/Land Use Change Research in the Peten District of Northern Guatemala."
Abstract

Rates and trends of forest clearing in the vicinity of the Maya Biosphere Reserve will be presented with reference to socioeconomic driving forces influencing recent forest change. The design and current status of a new research project in the Peten district, funded through NASA's Mission to Planet Earth (MTPE) Land Cover/Land Use Change Science Program, will be reviewed.

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Friday, November 7, 1997

Warren Sanderson, Professor, Department of Economics, State University of New York, Stony Brook. "HIV in Botswana and Namibia: Is Population Pressure on their Fragile Ecosystems a Thing of the Past?" Presented in conjunction with the Population Institute for Research and Training (PIRT) and the Economic History Workshop.
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Monday, December 1, 1997

Benjamin Orlove, Columbia Earth Institute. "Anthropological Contributions to the Study of El Niño Events."
Abstract

This talk examines three different areas of anthropological research on El Niño events. The first is the study of indigenous forecasts, systems by which small-scale food producers anticipate El Niño events and modify their productive strategies. The second is the comparative study of the use of modern scientific El Niño forecasts by national governments. The third is the anthropological study of atmospheric scientists, particularly the discussions of forecasts and predictions within scientific communities and in wider public circles.

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Monday, December 8, 1997

Catherine Tucker, Environmental Research Coordinator, CIPEC. "What's the Difference Between Private and Communal Forests? Linking Data from Satellite Images, Vegetation Analysis, and Household Surveys in a Honduran Community."
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